It looks to me like the eye is going straight up Charlotte Harbor and slamming Port Charlotte and Punta Gorda. The storm surge will funnel up the inlet and drown the cities. Pry Ian doesn’t reorganize before it starts to drag against the land. If it doesn’t reorganize it will stay a cat 3 but if it reorganizes and strengthens again it will be much worse. The difference between a 105mph hurricane and a 130mph hurricane is a bunch of damage.
HH planes are in it now. Radar is indicating 120. We'll see if the aircraft verify that. Sadly, there's a 4500 CAPE ridge to the SE of Ian that's providing infeed and it (the very high CAPE ridge) is also expanding significantly.
Pretty sure it's going to continue to go farther right than forecast at least for the time being. Current heading is 10 degrees.
