Yes, with all the extraordinary actions take to reduce social contact, Covid-19 may kill about as many people this year as in a typical flu year.
But if the USA hadn't taken these actions - would a jump from 60k to 200k deaths be all that unlikely? Not really. Just move the peak about a month later and you'd get those 200k deaths.
Which is what you and Fubarski are demanding happen, in order to feel like the restrictions were worthwhile.
Originally Posted by add
I think Fubarski will end up being more prescient on his numbers with this virus than many of the "experts", methodology aside.
I hope he is.
Because that means that the situation would have been magnitudes worse than if no actions were taken. You do understand that, right?
