The predictions will change as more info of the virus becomes known and as various localities and states and even countries initiate various forms of control (social distancing)

The daily death chart on worldometer.com
Is pretty telling. Daily deaths for the world on 2/28 was about 60. Today was over 4K. America is quickly catching up to Spain and Italy. We had our first death in my town last week. A healthy 44 year old father and husband.