basic-mathematics.com would seem to differ with your premise. Nothing in there mentions "small numbers don't mean shat".
If, what you're trying to say is that enough time hasn't elapsed to get a complete picture of what the final growth and decline curve of infection or death rates is, then say that.
It would seem that if a person wanted to they could solve the equation with the numbers of deaths to this point and they would very likely come up with an "x" that shows a rate of growth that is "exponential"...................by definition.
At the end of all this, no doubt the graph will look different, but for now perhaps it is exponential?? Just possibly???
Geno
The desert is a true treasure for him who seeks refuge from men and the evil of men. In it is contentment In it is death and all you seek (Quoted from "The Bleeding of the Stone" Ibrahim Al-Koni)