Before this got going, when we considered it another flu, only worse, I figured if you take the seasonal flu with a death rate of 0.1% and the average of 35,000 and multiplied it by the death rate we were seeing aboard the cruise ships of 0.6 % that equals 210,000. But the death rate varies from the0.4% of Germany to the 1.16% of NYC. So the 200,000 seemed logical. The other kicker, it's more contagious , and flu doesn't infect that large a % of the population. I've never heard of math being political . So it could go beyond the 200,000 when it's over.
