Not sure anyone can predict the waves of I161 but know that the final price of out of state tags is still facing the political process. This year roughly 11,000 out of state applicants faced a 50/50 chance. Next year the total tags in the drawing is going to be closer to 15000. Leading to probably higher odds. The caveat is that the outfitters now in order to break even on clients are going to over recruit applicants to the draw. This first year that is probably not going to happen nor with the price jump to $700 is that going to attract the usuals. I suspect the chances of drawing will be pretty high next year.
