With the Russians now fully taking Pervomaiske, rolling up Novomykhailivka, breaking into Krasnohorivka and surrounding Chasiv Yar, the whole line of fortresses that have been reinforced over nearly a decade to the west and north of Donetsk is being overcome.

With Novomykhailivka taken, Vuhledar will also fall as its remaining supply route is cut off. Without them it will be much more difficult for the Ukrainians to keep back a Russian military that is building strength while its own numbers and arms are dwindling.

The ability of Russian ground attack aircraft to openly fly at low levels over places such as Chasiv Yar is another game changer. The weather will also soon very much favor the Russians.